What happens when 1,000 random strategies each make 100 trades? Every trade is a 50/50 coin flip — no skill, no strategy, no edge. Like a monkey randomly pressing buy or sell.
Simulation #1
Key insights
Every strategy traded completely at random — none had any edge. Winrate alone means nothing without a proper risk-to-reward ratio.
Average winrate—
Min R:R to profit—
Highest winrate—
Lowest winrate—
Longest win streak—
Longest loss streak—
01Winrate distribution
List
Winrate frequency
02Longest winning streaks
List
Win streak distribution
03Longest losing streaks
List
Loss streak distribution
Test your strategy
Enter your strategy parameters and see 1,000 possible outcomes.
Same winrate, same risk:reward — wildly different results depending on the order of wins and losses.
Trigger = how far price must move in your favor (in R) before the stop loss moves. Move SL to = where the stop loss moves to (0 = entry price, 0.1 = small profit locked in).
Probabilities are calculated automatically using a standard pricing model (Brownian motion) that estimates how price moves between your levels.